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Release · 2026-09-25 to 2026-09-25

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 nowcast is 5.0 percent, down from 5.1 percent

The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2026 is 5.0 percent on September 25, down from 5.1 percent on September 17. After releases from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, an increase in the nowcast of third-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth from 4.1 percent to 4.2 percent was more than offset by a decrease in the nowcast of third-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from 19.2 percent to 18.7 percent. GDPNow is a model nowcast, not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed or the FOMC.

GDPNow real GDP growth nowcast, Q3 2026
5% 2026-Q3 · prior 5.1% (2026-09-17)
GDPNow real PCE growth nowcast, Q3 2026
4.2% 2026-Q3 · prior 4.1% (2026-09-17)
GDPNow real gross private domestic investment growth nowcast, Q3 2026
18.7% 2026-Q3 · prior 19.2% (2026-09-17)
Atlanta Fed GDPNow, 2026:Q3 real GDP nowcastpercent4.4%4.6%4.8%5%5.2%Sep 3Sep 10Sep 16Sep 17Sep 25Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta GDPNow commentaries, September 3–25, 2026 · vertical axis does not start at zero
Atlanta Fed GDPNow, 2026:Q3 real GDP nowcast. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta GDPNow commentaries, September 3–25, 2026. Share card.

Source: GDPNow commentaries, September 25, 2026 — Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. Also: GDPNow landing page, September 25, 2026 update.

all 3 figures found at the source
  • found GDPNow real GDP growth nowcast, Q3 2026 = 5% — at Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
  • found GDPNow real PCE growth nowcast, Q3 2026 = 4.2% — at Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
  • found GDPNow real gross private domestic investment growth nowcast, Q3 2026 = 18.7% — at Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Related: Inflation

Researched by Grok, checked against each source by an automated pass, edited by Clem Ziroli III. Published Sep 25, 2026.

This page is one print. The daily brief for September 25, 2026 is the editor's cut of what mattered that day. Figures are as the named sources printed them. The methodology says how this page is made and what is checked.